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Thursday, May 1st, 2025

Broker’s pick today: Key Trends, Hot Stocks & Must-Know Risks.

1. Financial Markets Overview

Global Market Performance

  • US stocks remained mixed, with the S&P 500 up slightly (+0.03%) and the Nasdaq Composite declining (-0.36%). The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 0.28%, supported by strong earnings from Coca-Cola and Apple.
  • Gold prices hit a new peak of US$2,942 per ounce, reaffirming its role as a hedge against economic uncertainties.
  • The US Federal Reserve signaled stable interest rates, stating they remain in a “good place” amid inflation concerns.

Singapore Market Performance

  • The Straits Times Index (STI) closed at 3,860.8 (-0.4%), while REITs held steady despite financing cost pressures.
  • Singapore’s 10-year bond yield fell to 2.9%, reflecting investor appetite for defensive assets.

2. Sectoral Insights and Key Companies

Telecommunications: NetLink NBN Trust

  • Revenue declined by 1% YoY due to reduced regulated pricing.
  • Residential connections remained stable, while non-building address point (NBAP) connections grew 2% QoQ, supported by Smart Nation initiatives.
  • BUY rating maintained, with a target price of SGD 0.97 and a 6% dividend yield.

Construction: ISOTeam

  • ISOTeam’s AI-powered drone painting technology is expected to cut costs by 30-40% and enhance competitiveness.
  • FY25 expected to be a major turnaround year, with 230% YoY profit growth and a SGD 202.4 million orderbook.
  • Stock initiated at BUY with a target price of SGD 0.09, with risks including labour shortages and regulatory hurdles.

Industrial & REITs: Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT)

  • Facing lease expirations for key US data center tenants, potentially impacting revenue by 1.2-1.5%.
  • Management is exploring re-leasing, conversion, or divestment strategies to mitigate risks.
  • Distribution yield remains attractive at 6.5%, making it a defensive pick in the REIT sector.

Real Estate: First REIT

  • DPU for FY24 fell 4.8% YoY, impacted by Indonesian Rupiah and Japanese Yen depreciation.
  • Healthcare properties in Indonesia and Singapore posted rental income growth in local currency terms.
  • A strategic review, including potential asset sales, is underway, which could drive future stock performance.

Real Estate: Paragon REIT (Privatisation Offer)

  • Cuscaden Peak has proposed to privatise Paragon REIT at SGD 0.98 per unit.
  • The offer price represents a 10.9% and 12.8% premium over the 1-month and 12-month volume-weighted average prices, respectively.
  • Cuscaden plans a major SGD 300-600 million asset enhancement initiative (AEI) for Paragon Mall, aiming to modernize it and counter rising Orchard Road competition.
  • DPU could decline by 21.4-64% during the AEI period, making privatisation an attractive exit for unitholders.
  • HOLD rating maintained, with an increased target price of SGD 0.98 due to limited upside in the near term.

Technology: ISDN Holdings Ltd

  • ISDN Holdings Ltd expects FY24 net profit to grow 60.4% YoY, driven by recovery in industrial automation (IA) in China.
  • Expansion into Malaysia and Taiwan aims to diversify revenue streams.
  • Stock upgraded from HOLD to ADD, with a revised target price of SGD 0.35 (+14.8% upside).

3. Investment Recommendations & Outlook

Bullish Sectors

  • Industrial Automation & Smart Infrastructure: Companies like ISOTeam (drone painting) and NetLink NBN Trust (Smart Nation fiber deployment) are leveraging technology for cost efficiency.
  • Healthcare REITs: First REIT remains a stable defensive play, despite currency headwinds.
  • Privatisation Plays: Paragon REIT’s offer could benefit unitholders seeking an exit ahead of major AEI disruptions.

Cautious Sectors

  • Data Centers & Industrial REITs: Lease expirations pose short-term risks, but long-term demand remains strong.
  • Construction: Labour costs and regulatory challenges could pressure margins, though automation provides an edge.

Key Risks to Monitor

  • Global inflation & interest rate trends: The Fed’s monetary policy remains a critical factor in market liquidity.
  • US-China trade tensions & tariffs: A continued dispute could hurt export-driven sectors and industrial investments.
  • Currency risks: The weakening Indonesian Rupiah and Japanese Yen remain concerns for Singapore-based REITs with international exposure.

    Final Verdict: ISOTeam = The Most Bullish Stock

    With its pioneering technology, strong government support, record-high orderbook, and massive earnings rebound, ISOTeam stands out as the most bullish pick for high-growth investors in 2025!

    Thank you

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