Saturday, April 26th, 2025

CapitaLand India Trust (CLINT): Buy Rating & Growth Pipeline Analysis (April 2025)


OCBC Investment Research Private Limited

25 April 2025

CapitaLand India Trust (CLINT): Eyeing Growth in India’s Thriving Economy

Investment Thesis: CLINT – A Strategic Play on India’s Growth

CapitaLand India Trust (CLINT) is a pioneering property trust in Asia, focusing on India’s burgeoning Information Technology (IT) sector. With 11 IT park clusters across major cities like Mumbai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, and Chennai, CLINT has diversified into logistics, industrials, and data centers (DC). CLINT distinguishes itself through an aggressive acquisition strategy, utilizing forward purchases to secure strategically located assets, positioning itself to benefit from India’s rapid economic expansion driven by e-commerce, data localization, and digital payments [[1]]. The relaxation of the Special Economic Zones (SEZ) Act further reduces occupancy risk for its existing SEZ properties [[2]].

1Q25 Performance: Strong Growth Backed by Solid Operations

  • CLINT’s total property income and net property income (NPI) increased by 12% year-on-year (YoY) in 1Q25, driven by strong operating performance [[1]].
  • Total property income reached SGD74.6m, and NPI was SGD55.1m, representing 22.5% of full-year forecasts [[1]].
  • Committed occupancy remained stable at 92%, including options and rights of first refusal [[1]].
  • Portfolio enjoyed +9% rental reversion over the past 12 months, particularly in Bangalore and Chennai [[2]].

Divestment and Acquisition Updates

  • The divestment of CyberVale and CyberPearl is delayed until May 2025 due to ongoing market volatility [[1]].
  • A new forward purchase agreement was entered to acquire an office project at Nagawara, Outer Ring Road, Bangalore (MAIA) [[2]].

Financial Overview and Key Metrics

Security Information:

  • Ticker (Refinitiv / Bloomberg): CAPC.SI / CLINT SP [[1]]
  • Market Cap (SGD b): 1.3 [[1]]
  • Daily Turnover (SGD m): 2.8 [[1]]
  • Free Float: 99% [[1]]
  • Shares Outstanding (m): 1,344 [[1]]
  • Top Shareholder: Temasek Holdings Pte. Ltd. (25.4%) [[1]]

Financial Summary (SGD m):

FY24 FY25E FY26E
Revenue 277.9 295.7 362.6
Net Property Income 205.6 218.8 267.2
Distributable Income 101.5 100.1 115.5
DPU (S cents) 6.84 7.13 7.56

Key Ratios:

FY24 FY25E FY26E
Distribution Yield (%) 7.2 7.5 7.8
P/NAV (x) 0.68 0.63 0.59
NPI Margin (%) 74.0 74.0 73.7

Source: Refinitiv, Internal estimates [[1]]

Impact of Forward Purchase Agreement (MAIA)

  • CLINT will provide SGD156.4m in funding over four years, starting in 2H25, for the MAIA project [[2]].
  • The acquisition, expected in 2H28, is estimated to cost SGD233.6m [[2]].
  • The acquisition would have increased FY24 DPU by 1.8% to 6.96 Singapore cents on a pro forma basis [[2]].

Revised Fair Value Estimate: SGD1.23

  • The fair value (FV) estimate has been reduced to SGD1.23 [[1]].
  • Factors include a steeper depreciation of INR vs SGD, increased cost of equity input (from 9.38% to 9.8%), and a lower terminal growth rate assumption (reduced by 25bps to 2.5%) [[2]].
  • FY25 and FY26 DPU forecasts are lowered by 3.6% and 4.9%, respectively [[2]].
  • Despite the adjustment, a BUY rating is maintained [[2]].

ESG Performance

  • CLINT’s ESG rating was maintained in Dec 2024 [[2]].
  • CLINT leads peers in green building initiatives, including green leases to promote sustainable property use [[2]].
  • 79.5% of its total portfolio area was certified to green building standards in FY23, surpassing the industry average of 47% [[3]].
  • CLINT outperforms peers in staff management practices and has a majority-independent board [[3]].

Potential Catalysts

  • Developments on DC partial divestment [[3]]
  • Stronger-than-expected outsourcing demand [[3]]
  • Increasing tenant pick up through denotification of SEZ space [[3]]

Key Investment Risks

  • Forward purchases failing to meet pre-agreed building specifications and inability of sellers to repay loans [[3]]
  • Delays in DC development and divestment plans [[3]]
  • Unexpected appreciation of SGD over INR [[3]]

Valuation Analysis

Price/Earnings Price/Book EV/EBITDA Dividend Yield (%) ROE (%)
FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E
CAPITALAND INDIA TRUST (CAPC.SI) 10.4 9.5 0.7 0.6 15.2 13.0 7.5 8.7 6.8 7.6
MINDSPACE BUSINESS PARKS REIT (MINS.NS) 35.7 30.5 1.7 1.8 15.8 14.2 5.7 6.2 4.6 5.4
EMBASSY OFFICE PARKS REIT (EMBA.NS) 25.8 32.7 1.4 1.4 17.5 15.0 6.1 6.9 6.2 4.9
BROOKFIELD INDIA REAL ESTATE TRUST (BROF.NS) 49.2 31.5 1.2 1.3 15.4 14.0 6.5 7.0 2.7 3.4

Source: Refinitiv [[3]]

Company Overview

CapitaLand India Trust, listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange since Aug 2007, is the first Indian property trust in Asia. CLINT focuses on investing in income-producing commercial real estate in India. As of 31 Dec 2024, CLINT’s portfolio includes 11 IT parks, four data centre developments, and three logistics and industrial facilities in India, with a total completed floor area of 19.6msqf valued at SGD3.4b [[4]]. CLINT is managed by CapitaLand India Trust Management Pte. Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of CapitaLand Investment [[4]].

FY24 Base Rents Breakdown by City (India):

  • Hyderabad: 27% [[4]]
  • Bangalore: 27% [[4]]
  • Chennai: 18% [[4]]
  • Pune: 20% [[4]]
  • Mumbai: 8% [[4]]

FY24 Base Rents Breakdown by Tenant Sector:

  • Technology & Software Dev: 61% [[4]]
  • Others: 8% [[4]]
  • Electronics, Semiconductor & Engineering: 11% [[4]]
  • Automobile: 6% [[4]]
  • Banking & Financial Services: 7% [[4]]
  • Design, Gaming and Media: 3% [[4]]

Net Property Income (SGD m) & Distribution per unit (S cents):

Net Property Income (SGD m):

  • FY2018: 128 [[4]]
  • FY2019: 136 [[4]]
  • FY2020: 148 [[4]]
  • FY2021: 156 [[4]]
  • FY2022: 167 [[4]]
  • FY2023: 180 [[4]]
  • FY2024: 206 [[4]]

Distribution per unit (S cents):

  • FY2018: 6.10 [[4]]
  • FY2019: 7.33 [[4]]
  • FY2020: 8.83 [[4]]
  • FY2021: 7.80 [[4]]
  • FY2022: 8.19 [[4]]
  • FY2023: 6.45 [[4]]
  • FY2024: 6.84 [[4]]

Company Financials

Income Statement (In Millions of SGD except Per Share):

FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
12 Months Ending 31/12/2020 31/12/2021 31/12/2022 31/12/2023 31/12/2024
Revenue 191.7 192.7 210.6 234.1 277.9
– Cost of Revenue 59.7 53.9 62.2 73.8 96.0
Gross Profit 131.9 138.8 148.4 160.2 181.9
– Operating Expenses -105.6 -180.6 -134.9 -166.1 -365.7
Operating Income or Losses 237.6 319.4 283.3 326.3 547.6
– Interest Expense 44.3 51.3 64.8 81.8 90.2
Pretax Income 193.3 268.1 218.5 244.5 457.4
– Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 50.5 67.6 73.8 87.0 -0.7
Income Before XO Items 142.8 200.5 144.7 157.5 458.0
– Minority/Non Controlling Interests (Credits) 12.1 8.2 7.3 10.1 19.3
Net Income/Net Profit (Losses) 130.7 192.3 137.4 147.4 438.8
Net Inc Avail to Common Shareholders 130.7 192.3 137.4 147.4 438.8
Normalized Income 142.8 200.5 144.7 157.5 458.3
Basic Earnings per Share 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Basic Weighted Avg Shares 1,155.1 1,160.8 1,167.1 1,245.9 1,336.2
Diluted EPS Before Abnormal Items 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Diluted EPS Before XO Items 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Diluted EPS 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Diluted Weighted Avg Shares 1,155.1 1,160.8 1,167.1 1,245.9 1,336.2

Profitability Ratios:

FY2018 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
12 Months Ending 31/12/2020 31/12/2021 31/12/2022 31/12/2023 31/12/2024
Return on Common Equity 10.54 14.83 10.38 10.40 25.81
Return on Assets 5.46 6.92 4.55 4.53 11.16
Return on Capital 21.72 19.59 17.77 16.23 13.55
Return on Invested Capital 5.73 5.57 4.74 4.13 5.43
Operating Margin 100.85 139.11 103.74 104.48 164.59
Incremental Operating Margin 1.38 0.75 1.01 1.58
Pretax Margin 100.85 139.11 103.74 104.48 164.59
Income before XO Margin 68.20 99.77 65.24 62.99 157.90
Net Income Margin 68.20 99.77 65.24 62.99 157.90
Net Income to Common Margin 68.20 99.77 65.24 62.99 157.90

Additional:

FY2018 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
Effective Tax Rate 26.11 25.23 33.75 35.59 -0.15
Dvd Payout Ratio 83.05 46.73 69.05 54.51 20.83
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.45 14.76 10.31 10.35 25.75

Credit Ratios:

FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
12 Months Ending 31/12/2020 31/12/2021 31/12/2022 31/12/2023 31/12/2024
Total Debt/EBIT 6.54 8.12 8.60 8.98 10.07
Net Debt/EBIT 5.73 6.86 7.44 7.82 9.30
EBIT to Interest Expense 2.82 2.61 2.23 1.89 1.94
Long-Term Debt/Total Assets 26.31 20.30 26.68 26.02 27.94
Net Debt/Equity 0.65 0.74 0.90 0.84 0.94

Source: Refinitiv [[5]]


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